Wallet scorecards
Deflated Sharpe, false discovery rate, and why the best trader in a large pool is usually the luckiest.
Provider reliability
Scoring vendors on accuracy against chain ground truth. Only three of six are structurally scoreable.
Wallet clustering
Seven heuristics voting to a threshold, with per-edge provenance. Zero clusters is the normal result.
Rug score
Composite token risk, and the absence states that must never read as safety.
Temporal alpha
Where in time a trader’s edge lives, gated by permutation tests.
Sentry authority
Detecting authority changes on monitored contracts.
Alpha Ledger
Commit-before-outcome hashing, and the honest status of on-chain anchoring.
Agent signals
Five checks, a citation allowlist, and why most verdicts are
no_opinion.Three principles shared by everything here
Unmeasured is never zero
Unmeasured is never zero
A
null is not a low score. Every rate carries its denominator, and a table that cannot distinguish “we checked and found nothing” from “we never checked” is considered broken rather than terse.This is enforced in the payloads themselves — see Data states.Refuse to classify rather than guess
Refuse to classify rather than guess
Style labels, cluster edges, and provider verdicts all require a statistical licence as well as a magnitude: a permutation p-value, an acceptance threshold, or a scored denominator.A 40-trade account concentrates its P&L by accident. Labelling it “a funding arbitrageur” is a claim about a named stranger, and the bar for making one is deliberately higher than “the number looked big”.
Publish the exclusions
Publish the exclusions
Where something cannot be measured, the exclusion is published rather than the gap being quietly closed. The provider board ranks three of six named vendors and says so, because the other three are the instruments it measures against.
Source specifications
Scienter publishes impersonal market signals of general and regular circulation. Nothing here is investment, legal, or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Scienter is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Trading digital assets can result in the total loss of your funds — see Disclaimers for the full text.